Marchfeld vs Schwadorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
8.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marchfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
SCH
0 - 3
MAN
16%
21%
63%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
MAN
1 - 1
STP
73%
16%
11%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
LAN
1 - 3
MAN
25%
23%
52%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
MAN
1 - 0
KOT
70%
17%
13%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
GAF
2 - 2
MAN
28%
23%
49%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Schwadorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
SCH
0 - 3
MAN
16%
21%
63%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2012 |
SVS
1 - 1
SCH
35%
24%
42%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2012 |
SCH
0 - 1
BAD
22%
26%
52%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
WAI
5 - 1
SCH
51%
21%
27%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
SCH
0 - 1
OBE
31%
25%
44%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |