Marchfeld vs Mistelbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
10.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marchfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
ZWE
5 - 3
MAN
26%
22%
52%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2013 |
WAI
2 - 2
MAN
20%
21%
59%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | -2 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 0
GKN
31%
22%
46%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +3 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
STP
3 - 1
MAN
26%
23%
51%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | -2 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
MAN
2 - 1
LAN
70%
18%
13%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Mistelbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
MIS
2 - 2
LAN
30%
25%
45%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
ZWE
0 - 1
MIS
66%
18%
16%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2012 |
MIS
2 - 3
KOT
23%
24%
53%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
GOT
5 - 1
MIS
52%
23%
25%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2012 |
MIS
1 - 2
ZWE
23%
23%
54%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |