Marchfeld vs Götzendorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
9.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marchfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
STP
0 - 3
MAN
27%
23%
51%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
ARD
1 - 2
MAN
24%
23%
54%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
MAN
6 - 1
SVS
82%
12%
6%
|
33 | 14 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
BAD
1 - 1
MAN
34%
24%
43%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
MAN
4 - 2
WAI
73%
16%
11%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Götzendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2013 |
GOT
2 - 0
WAI
46%
23%
31%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2013 |
GOT
0 - 0
SVS
73%
17%
11%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
BAD
0 - 0
GOT
67%
19%
14%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
OBE
3 - 0
GOT
65%
19%
16%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
GOT
0 - 3
SCH
70%
18%
13%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | -1 |