Marchfeld vs Gaflenz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.4%
17%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marchfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
WAI
0 - 2
MAN
23%
21%
57%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
MAN
4 - 3
LEO
28%
22%
51%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2015 |
LAN
1 - 3
MAN
27%
21%
52%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
MAN
2 - 1
STP
50%
22%
28%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
OPI
1 - 2
MAN
57%
20%
23%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Gaflenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
GAF
3 - 2
WUR
59%
20%
21%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
SPR
3 - 1
GAF
26%
21%
53%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -2 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
GAF
2 - 2
KRE
11%
15%
74%
|
21 | 46 | 25 | +2 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
GAF
2 - 5
KOT
32%
23%
45%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2015 |
WAI
3 - 3
GAF
26%
23%
51%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |