Marchfeld vs Ardagger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
20.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marchfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
MAN
4 - 1
ZWE
66%
18%
16%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
STP
0 - 1
MAN
41%
23%
36%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
MAN
0 - 0
SCH
84%
11%
5%
|
23 | 10 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
STP
4 - 0
MAN
55%
21%
24%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2014 |
MAN
4 - 0
SPR
74%
15%
10%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ardagger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2014 |
ARD
1 - 1
STP
28%
24%
49%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2014 |
ARD
5 - 1
SCH
82%
12%
6%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
SPR
2 - 3
ARD
28%
24%
48%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
ARD
3 - 4
GAF
42%
24%
34%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2014 |
WAI
1 - 2
ARD
34%
24%
42%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |