Manly United vs Nws Spirit analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
13.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
8º
14º
8º
39
3º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manly United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
STG
1 - 1
MAN
34%
21%
44%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
MAN
2 - 1
SYD
32%
23%
45%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +2 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
SYD
2 - 1
MAN
71%
15%
14%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
MAN
2 - 2
ROC
22%
25%
53%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
SYD
2 - 2
MAN
53%
22%
25%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Nws Spirit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
NWS
3 - 1
MDT
30%
22%
49%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
CCM
4 - 2
NWS
57%
20%
23%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
NWS
2 - 2
SUT
30%
22%
48%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
NWS
3 - 2
BLA
7%
13%
81%
|
19 | 46 | 27 | +4 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
STG
3 - 0
NWS
83%
11%
7%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |