Manly United vs Blacktown City Demons analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
50.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manly United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
WOL
1 - 1
MAN
59%
21%
20%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 1
MDT
53%
21%
26%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
MAN
0 - 0
SYD
30%
25%
45%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
WOL
5 - 2
MAN
57%
23%
20%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
MAN
1 - 0
MDT
56%
20%
24%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Blacktown City Demons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
BLA
2 - 0
NSM
78%
14%
9%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
BLA
0 - 0
API
53%
23%
24%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
SUT
1 - 2
BLA
32%
24%
45%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2021 |
HIB
1 - 4
BLA
26%
20%
54%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
BLA
5 - 2
WSW
76%
14%
10%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | +1 |