Manly United vs Blacktown City Demons analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
44.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manly United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
SYD
2 - 4
MAN
53%
22%
25%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
BON
3 - 0
MAN
32%
24%
43%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
API
1 - 4
MAN
26%
24%
50%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
MAN
5 - 0
BLA
77%
15%
8%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
ROC
1 - 2
MAN
37%
25%
38%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Blacktown City Demons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
BLA
1 - 2
API
77%
14%
9%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
BLA
0 - 2
BLA
11%
18%
72%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2016 |
BLA
6 - 2
SYD
53%
23%
24%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +2 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
BLA
3 - 0
ROC
67%
19%
14%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
WOL
2 - 3
BLA
52%
23%
26%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |