Manly United vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
40.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manly United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2022 |
MAN
0 - 0
SYD
43%
26%
31%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
ROC
0 - 1
MAN
58%
22%
21%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2022 |
MAN
1 - 0
SYD
43%
25%
32%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +2 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
MDT
2 - 4
MAN
28%
21%
51%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
BLA
3 - 1
MAN
65%
20%
15%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
APIA Leichhardt Tigers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2022 |
API
4 - 1
MDT
75%
15%
11%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
SYD
2 - 2
API
35%
23%
42%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
MAR
4 - 1
API
36%
24%
40%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
SYD
0 - 4
API
39%
25%
36%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +2 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
NSM
3 - 3
API
18%
18%
65%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |