Manisa FK vs Orhangazispor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
16.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manisa FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
SUL
1 - 0
MAN
35%
26%
39%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
MAN
3 - 1
TEK
50%
25%
26%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
SAK
1 - 0
MAN
40%
26%
35%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
MAN
0 - 0
ZAR
73%
18%
9%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
BOD
4 - 0
MAN
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Orhangazispor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
ORH
0 - 0
SAK
40%
27%
33%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ZAR
0 - 0
ORH
39%
24%
37%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
ORH
0 - 1
BOD
30%
27%
44%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
DER
1 - 0
ORH
32%
28%
40%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ORH
1 - 2
OFS
42%
27%
32%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |