Manisa FK vs Fatsa Belediye analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.6%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.7%
4-0
10.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.7%
3-0
14.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.9%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.2%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.4%
3%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manisa FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
ANK
2 - 1
MAN
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
MAN
0 - 3
ADA
75%
17%
9%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
EYU
3 - 2
MAN
39%
26%
36%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
UMR
1 - 0
MAN
46%
25%
28%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 3
BAN
62%
21%
18%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Fatsa Belediye
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
FAT
0 - 0
AHP
31%
26%
43%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
BUG
0 - 0
FAT
34%
26%
41%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
FAT
0 - 0
BER
42%
27%
31%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
FAT
0 - 0
ERB
35%
26%
39%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
BUR
0 - 1
FAT
72%
18%
10%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | +1 |