Manisa FK vs Derince Belediyespor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
9.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manisa FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
MAN
2 - 0
YOM
61%
22%
17%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 1
MAN
26%
25%
49%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
GAZ
2 - 5
MAN
19%
24%
57%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
MAN
1 - 0
AYV
70%
19%
11%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
DEN
1 - 2
MAN
25%
25%
50%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Derince Belediyespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
ZAR
2 - 0
DER
35%
24%
41%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
DER
0 - 1
BOD
26%
26%
49%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
DER
0 - 3
OFS
31%
26%
42%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
YOM
0 - 0
DER
56%
23%
21%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
DER
1 - 4
SAN
57%
24%
20%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |