Manisa FK vs Bergama Belediyespor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
8.3%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manisa FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
BAY
1 - 3
MAN
35%
27%
39%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
MAN
3 - 2
HEA
56%
23%
21%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
ERB
0 - 1
MAN
34%
27%
40%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
MAN
1 - 0
OFS
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
YEN
0 - 2
MAN
41%
26%
34%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Bergama Belediyespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
BER
1 - 1
KOZ
44%
22%
34%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
BER
2 - 0
12B
34%
22%
44%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
BAY
1 - 0
BER
59%
23%
18%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
BER
1 - 1
HEA
35%
26%
39%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
ERB
0 - 2
BER
63%
22%
15%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | +2 |