Manila Digger vs Loyola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.8%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
72.6%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.7%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+432%
-49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manila Digger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
MEN
2 - 3
MDG
85%
10%
5%
|
8 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
DAF
1 - 0
MDG
84%
11%
5%
|
8 | 28 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
MDG
2 - 1
MMF
15%
18%
67%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
MDG
3 - 2
PHI
9%
15%
76%
|
5 | 18 | 13 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
MDG
1 - 4
DHC
4%
13%
83%
|
6 | 30 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Loyola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
LOY
5 - 1
GRU
86%
9%
4%
|
25 | 8 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
STA
5 - 0
LOY
49%
21%
30%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
DHC
4 - 0
LOY
47%
22%
32%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
LOY
0 - 7
KAY
70%
18%
12%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | -12 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
GRU
1 - 6
LOY
3%
12%
85%
|
40 | 6 | 34 | 0 |