Manglerud Star vs Follo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
29.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manglerud Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2006 |
HON
1 - 2
MAN
76%
15%
9%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2006 |
HOD
2 - 0
MAN
49%
22%
29%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2006 |
MAN
2 - 2
LOV
37%
25%
38%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2006 |
SPA
2 - 4
MAN
72%
18%
10%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | +2 |
| 05 Jul. 2006 |
VKG
4 - 0
MAN
80%
14%
6%
|
47 | 77 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Follo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2006 |
FOL
0 - 1
HAU
40%
25%
35%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2006 |
HON
6 - 0
FOL
69%
19%
12%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2006 |
SOG
1 - 2
FOL
69%
18%
13%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2006 |
FOL
3 - 1
HOD
48%
24%
27%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2006 |
LOV
5 - 1
FOL
52%
25%
23%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |