CAF Champions Last 16
Global 2-5
Mangasport vs Stade Malien analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
58.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mangasport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
BAN
0 - 0
MAN
47%
26%
27%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
MAN
1 - 0
BAN
56%
24%
21%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
CFM
1 - 5
MAN
53%
25%
22%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +2 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
MAN
3 - 1
OMB
50%
25%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2014 |
SAP
2 - 2
MAN
51%
26%
24%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Stade Malien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2015 |
GNN
1 - 1
STA
43%
24%
33%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
STA
0 - 0
GNN
53%
23%
24%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
STA
3 - 0
DUG
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
MAM
2 - 2
STA
42%
28%
31%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
STA
4 - 0
SAB
54%
25%
20%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |