Mandraikos vs AO Thiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
37.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
11º
15º
14º
20
5º
15º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 66 |
1º
|
62.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 61 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 58 |
3º
|
22% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 57 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 54 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 51 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 51 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 51 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 48 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 48 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 39 |
11º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
20 | 35 |
12º
|
20.5% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 34 |
13º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
17 | 32 |
14º
|
27.5% | |
|
15º
|
14 | 25 |
15º
|
27% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 25 |
16º
|
27% | |
|
17º
|
8 | 19 |
17º
|
73.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
2.5% | 5.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
6.5% | 11.5% |
|
Relegation
|
91% | 83% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mandraikos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
CHA
2 - 0
MAN
62%
21%
17%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
MAN
0 - 1
ASP
27%
25%
48%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
AAK
3 - 0
MAN
47%
22%
31%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 1
ATS
35%
28%
37%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
RET
3 - 3
MAN
22%
20%
58%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
AO Thiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
RAF
2 - 0
AOT
51%
25%
25%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
AOT
1 - 2
VAR
40%
26%
34%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
ANK
3 - 0
AOT
48%
25%
28%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
AOT
1 - 2
LON
37%
25%
38%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
FCM
4 - 1
AOT
54%
24%
22%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |