Manchete FC vs Sport Recife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.2%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.5%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
73.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.5%
0-2
16%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.6%
0-3
11%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchete FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
ITA
3 - 1
MAN
77%
14%
9%
|
11 | 31 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2005 |
PET
1 - 0
MAN
77%
14%
9%
|
11 | 34 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2005 |
MAN
0 - 0
SER
33%
24%
43%
|
8 | 44 | 36 | +3 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
ACA
2 - 0
MAN
78%
14%
8%
|
8 | 37 | 29 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2005 |
MAN
0 - 6
SAN
7%
16%
77%
|
9 | 64 | 55 | -1 |
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
ACA
0 - 0
SPO
12%
20%
67%
|
65 | 37 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2005 |
SPO
1 - 0
NAU
39%
26%
35%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2005 |
SPO
0 - 0
ITA
83%
13%
4%
|
65 | 27 | 38 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2005 |
SAN
0 - 0
SPO
51%
24%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2005 |
SPO
0 - 0
SER
78%
15%
7%
|
65 | 43 | 22 | 0 |