Manchete FC vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.6%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.2%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.2%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
78.9%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
14.9%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.9%
0-3
12.1%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
16.8%
0-4
7.3%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
9.6%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchete FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
YPI
2 - 1
MAN
79%
13%
8%
|
11 | 43 | 32 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2005 |
MAN
4 - 5
POR
34%
25%
41%
|
11 | 40 | 29 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
MAN
1 - 4
SPO
8%
18%
74%
|
11 | 65 | 54 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
ITA
3 - 1
MAN
77%
14%
9%
|
11 | 31 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2005 |
PET
1 - 0
MAN
77%
14%
9%
|
11 | 34 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2005 |
NAU
3 - 1
PAL
86%
10%
4%
|
64 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
NAU
2 - 2
ITA
91%
7%
2%
|
65 | 29 | 36 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2005 |
NAU
2 - 0
SER
87%
10%
4%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
NAU
2 - 3
SAN
56%
22%
22%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2005 |
PAL
0 - 1
NAU
11%
18%
71%
|
65 | 43 | 22 | 0 |