Man. Utd U23 vs Derby County U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
16%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Man. Utd U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
CPA
2 - 2
MUN
40%
25%
36%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
MUN
3 - 1
WHU
34%
24%
42%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
BHA
1 - 2
MUN
43%
24%
33%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
MCI
3 - 1
MUN
64%
19%
17%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2022 |
MUN
1 - 1
TOT
31%
24%
45%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2022 |
DER
0 - 2
EVE
42%
24%
34%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2022 |
DER
0 - 5
MCI
18%
21%
61%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
DER
1 - 1
ARS
35%
23%
42%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2022 |
LUS
2 - 0
DER
43%
23%
34%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2022 |
DER
0 - 1
LIV
52%
22%
26%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |