Man. Utd U18 vs Derby County U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
43.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+73%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Man. Utd U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
BLA
0 - 1
MAN
26%
21%
53%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
MAN
1 - 3
STO
55%
21%
24%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -2 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
WBA
5 - 3
MAN
36%
22%
42%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
MCI
1 - 2
MAN
64%
18%
18%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +2 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
MAN
1 - 1
WOL
75%
15%
10%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
DER
4 - 1
EVE
44%
22%
34%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
DER
1 - 3
NEW
83%
11%
6%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
MID
0 - 2
DER
31%
21%
48%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
WBA
2 - 4
DER
39%
22%
39%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
DER
1 - 5
LIV
40%
22%
38%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |