Man. Utd U18 vs Derby County U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
14.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Man. Utd U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
LIV
3 - 3
MAN
53%
21%
26%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
NEW
0 - 4
MAN
30%
22%
48%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
MAN
4 - 1
BLA
41%
23%
36%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
WOL
2 - 5
MAN
47%
22%
31%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
MAN
1 - 1
SUN
68%
18%
15%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Derby County U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
DER
0 - 3
BLA
32%
22%
46%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
STO
2 - 2
DER
35%
21%
44%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
SUN
1 - 2
DER
30%
21%
49%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
DER
2 - 1
WOL
46%
21%
33%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
DER
1 - 5
LIV
30%
21%
49%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -2 |