EFL Cup 1/32
Global 3-4
Manchester United vs York City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.9%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
6.2%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1995 |
MUD
3 - 0
BOL
74%
17%
9%
|
90 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1995 |
ROT
0 - 0
MUD
26%
27%
47%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1995 |
EVE
2 - 3
MUD
27%
26%
48%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1995 |
BBU
1 - 2
MUD
35%
26%
39%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1995 |
MUD
3 - 1
WIM
68%
20%
12%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
York City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1995 |
SWA
0 - 1
YOR
53%
27%
21%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1995 |
YOR
1 - 1
BUR
46%
27%
27%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1995 |
YOR
0 - 1
BRO
42%
27%
31%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1995 |
OXF
2 - 0
YOR
58%
24%
18%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1995 |
CHE
2 - 1
YOR
51%
26%
23%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |