FA Cup 1/32
Global 3-2
Manchester United vs West Ham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.9%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.4%
4-0
10.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.4%
3-0
14.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.6%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.5%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.8%
3.3%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
MUD
2 - 1
LIV
75%
16%
9%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
WHU
2 - 2
MUD
12%
18%
70%
|
94 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
WIG
0 - 4
MUD
10%
19%
71%
|
94 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
MUD
2 - 0
WBA
82%
12%
6%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
MUD
4 - 3
NEW
80%
13%
7%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
West Ham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
SUN
3 - 0
WHU
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
WHU
2 - 2
MUD
12%
18%
70%
|
80 | 94 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
WHU
2 - 1
NOR
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
REA
1 - 0
WHU
43%
26%
30%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
WHU
1 - 2
EVE
33%
26%
41%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |