Manchester United vs Watford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
14.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1983 |
LEI
1 - 1
MUD
23%
26%
51%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1983 |
MUD
1 - 2
ASV
59%
24%
18%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 1983 |
MUD
2 - 0
SVA
75%
18%
7%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1983 |
MUD
3 - 0
WOL
70%
19%
11%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1983 |
SUN
0 - 1
MUD
28%
27%
46%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1983 |
SUN
3 - 0
WAT
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1983 |
WAT
3 - 3
LEI
70%
18%
12%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1983 |
LSO
1 - 3
WAT
60%
20%
20%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1983 |
WAT
0 - 0
WHU
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1983 |
EVE
1 - 0
WAT
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |