Manchester United vs Watford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
14.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1983 |
EVE
2 - 0
MUD
41%
26%
32%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1983 |
MUD
2 - 1
ARS
59%
25%
16%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1983 |
MUD
1 - 1
SOU
62%
22%
15%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1983 |
SUN
0 - 0
MUD
29%
27%
44%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1983 |
MUD
3 - 0
COV
63%
22%
15%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1983 |
WAT
1 - 3
NTT
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1983 |
WBA
1 - 3
WAT
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1983 |
WAT
5 - 2
LUT
58%
21%
20%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1983 |
WHU
2 - 1
WAT
64%
20%
16%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1983 |
STO
4 - 0
WAT
53%
24%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |