Champions League 1/16
Global 10-2
Manchester United vs Waterford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.6%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.7%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.9%
5.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1968 |
EST
1 - 0
MUD
50%
22%
29%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1968 |
MUD
3 - 1
NEW
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1968 |
WAT
1 - 3
MUD
21%
21%
58%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1968 |
BUR
1 - 0
MUD
30%
25%
45%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1968 |
MUD
1 - 1
WHU
69%
18%
13%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Waterford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1968 |
WAT
1 - 3
MUD
21%
21%
58%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1966 |
TOR
6 - 0
WAT
19%
22%
59%
|
62 | 26 | 36 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1966 |
WAT
1 - 6
TOR
87%
9%
4%
|
62 | 24 | 38 | 0 |