Manchester United vs Swansea City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
10.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1981 |
ASV
1 - 1
MUD
56%
23%
21%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1981 |
MUD
1 - 2
IPS
50%
25%
25%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1981 |
MUD
0 - 0
NTT
52%
26%
22%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1981 |
COV
2 - 1
MUD
41%
26%
33%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1981 |
MUD
1 - 0
NOR
66%
20%
14%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1981 |
SWA
0 - 1
LOK
37%
25%
38%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1981 |
SWA
3 - 2
NOT
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1981 |
WBA
4 - 1
SWA
73%
17%
10%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1981 |
BHA
1 - 2
SWA
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1981 |
SWA
5 - 1
LEE
35%
28%
37%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | +1 |