Manchester United vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
6.5%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
MUD
1 - 0
TOT
66%
20%
14%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
MAC
1 - 0
MUD
14%
23%
63%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2007 |
OPA
1 - 1
MUD
16%
23%
61%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
MUD
0 - 0
REA
75%
16%
8%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
CHL
1 - 1
MUD
50%
23%
28%
|
94 | 96 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2007 |
LUT
3 - 0
SUN
31%
24%
45%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
SUN
0 - 2
LIV
19%
27%
54%
|
78 | 92 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
WIG
3 - 0
SUN
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2007 |
BIR
2 - 2
SUN
53%
25%
23%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
SUN
1 - 0
TOT
23%
26%
51%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | +1 |