FA Cup 1/16
Global 3-0
Manchester United vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
12%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
17.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.3%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.6%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
6.8%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1986 |
SUN
0 - 0
MUD
20%
27%
53%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1986 |
MUD
2 - 3
NTT
61%
22%
17%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1986 |
OXF
1 - 3
MUD
25%
25%
51%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1986 |
MUD
2 - 0
ROC
81%
14%
5%
|
89 | 49 | 40 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1986 |
MUD
1 - 0
BIR
75%
17%
8%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1986 |
SUN
0 - 0
MUD
20%
27%
53%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1986 |
SUN
1 - 2
MIL
60%
23%
18%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1986 |
SUN
4 - 2
LEE
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1986 |
SUN
2 - 0
NEW
72%
16%
12%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1986 |
BRA
2 - 0
SUN
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |