Manchester United vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
11.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1982 |
NOT
1 - 3
MUD
27%
28%
46%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1982 |
MUD
0 - 1
COV
67%
20%
13%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1982 |
BIR
0 - 1
MUD
36%
26%
37%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1982 |
MUD
1 - 1
MAC
62%
22%
16%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1982 |
MUD
0 - 0
ARS
52%
25%
23%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1982 |
LIV
1 - 0
SUN
75%
16%
9%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1982 |
SUN
0 - 1
LEE
45%
27%
28%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1982 |
SUN
2 - 0
SOU
36%
27%
37%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1982 |
SUN
1 - 1
NOT
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1982 |
SUN
0 - 1
SWA
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |