Manchester United vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
13.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1948 |
MUD
4 - 1
PNE
68%
17%
15%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1948 |
STO
0 - 2
MUD
48%
23%
29%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1948 |
MUD
1 - 1
PNE
65%
19%
17%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1948 |
MUD
2 - 0
CHA
71%
16%
13%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 1948 |
SHE
2 - 1
MUD
47%
23%
30%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1948 |
SUN
1 - 1
SHE
49%
23%
28%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1948 |
SUN
2 - 0
HUR
55%
21%
24%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1948 |
DER
5 - 1
SUN
64%
19%
18%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1948 |
BBU
4 - 3
SUN
44%
22%
34%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1948 |
SUN
1 - 2
BOL
65%
19%
16%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |