Manchester United vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
34.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1938 |
DER
5 - 1
MUD
73%
15%
12%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1938 |
MUD
0 - 0
BPO
50%
22%
28%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1938 |
MUD
0 - 2
CHA
49%
23%
29%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1938 |
PNE
1 - 1
MUD
65%
19%
16%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1938 |
MUD
5 - 1
CHL
47%
24%
29%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1938 |
SUN
1 - 2
MID
56%
21%
23%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1938 |
LEI
0 - 2
SUN
45%
23%
32%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1938 |
OPA
2 - 1
SUN
49%
23%
28%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1938 |
SUN
0 - 0
ARS
51%
23%
26%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1938 |
BRE
2 - 3
SUN
56%
21%
24%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |