Manchester United vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
37.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1930 |
SHE
3 - 1
MUD
74%
15%
12%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1930 |
MUD
0 - 0
BPO
53%
21%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1930 |
LEI
5 - 4
MUD
74%
15%
12%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1930 |
MUD
2 - 0
BIR
44%
24%
32%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1930 |
OPA
4 - 1
MUD
62%
20%
18%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1930 |
SUN
5 - 0
NEW
66%
18%
16%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1930 |
BOL
2 - 2
SUN
51%
23%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1930 |
SUN
3 - 2
GRI
71%
16%
13%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1930 |
SHW
7 - 2
SUN
66%
19%
15%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1930 |
SUN
4 - 2
HUR
59%
20%
21%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |