Manchester United vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
31.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1930 |
BUR
4 - 0
MUD
60%
20%
21%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1930 |
DER
1 - 1
MUD
71%
16%
13%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1930 |
ARS
4 - 2
MUD
58%
21%
22%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1930 |
MUD
2 - 3
ASV
44%
24%
32%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1930 |
BOL
4 - 1
MUD
61%
21%
19%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1930 |
SUN
2 - 0
GRI
73%
15%
12%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1930 |
LEI
1 - 2
SUN
67%
18%
16%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1930 |
SUN
3 - 2
MID
62%
19%
19%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1930 |
HUR
0 - 2
SUN
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1930 |
SUN
3 - 2
SHE
59%
20%
21%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |