Manchester United vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
36.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1928 |
MUD
2 - 3
SHE
43%
24%
33%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1928 |
BCF
4 - 3
MUD
65%
19%
17%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1928 |
MUD
2 - 1
BOL
43%
25%
33%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1928 |
MUD
4 - 3
BUR
41%
23%
36%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1928 |
BOL
3 - 2
MUD
69%
18%
13%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1928 |
CAR
3 - 1
SUN
46%
24%
31%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1928 |
SHE
5 - 1
SUN
59%
20%
21%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1928 |
SUN
1 - 0
BBU
64%
19%
18%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1928 |
DER
1 - 0
SUN
58%
20%
23%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1928 |
BOL
1 - 2
SUN
57%
21%
22%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |