Manchester United vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
13.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1908 |
FUL
2 - 1
MUD
30%
25%
46%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1908 |
MUD
1 - 0
BIR
73%
17%
10%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1908 |
ASV
0 - 2
MUD
62%
19%
19%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 1908 |
MUD
1 - 2
BBU
74%
16%
10%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1908 |
MUD
1 - 1
NEW
55%
23%
23%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1908 |
SUN
7 - 2
NTT
66%
18%
17%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1908 |
CHL
2 - 1
SUN
63%
19%
18%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1908 |
SUN
4 - 1
SHE
59%
19%
22%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1908 |
MID
3 - 1
SUN
56%
21%
23%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1908 |
SUN
1 - 0
LIV
60%
20%
21%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |