Manchester United vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
11.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1965 |
MUD
0 - 0
NTT
69%
18%
14%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1965 |
NOR
1 - 1
MUD
23%
22%
56%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1965 |
NTT
4 - 2
MUD
33%
24%
43%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1965 |
MUD
1 - 0
SHW
66%
18%
16%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1965 |
MUD
2 - 2
LIV
75%
14%
11%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1965 |
CHL
1 - 2
STO
68%
18%
14%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1965 |
STO
1 - 1
EVE
38%
24%
38%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1965 |
STO
2 - 2
CHL
41%
23%
35%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1965 |
ARS
2 - 1
STO
66%
19%
16%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1965 |
LEI
0 - 1
STO
63%
20%
17%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |