Manchester United vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
23.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1947 |
ARS
6 - 2
MUD
59%
21%
20%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1947 |
MID
2 - 4
MUD
72%
15%
13%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1947 |
MUD
4 - 1
CHA
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 1946 |
GRI
0 - 0
MUD
56%
22%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1946 |
MUD
1 - 0
BOL
56%
22%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1947 |
STO
5 - 0
PNE
59%
21%
21%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1947 |
DER
3 - 0
STO
61%
20%
19%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1947 |
STO
3 - 1
MID
54%
21%
25%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1946 |
CHA
1 - 0
STO
57%
21%
22%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1946 |
LIV
2 - 0
STO
62%
19%
19%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |