Manchester United vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
26.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1939 |
MUD
3 - 1
GRI
47%
23%
30%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1938 |
BIR
3 - 3
MUD
59%
21%
20%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1938 |
LEI
1 - 1
MUD
55%
20%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1938 |
MUD
3 - 0
LEI
53%
21%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Dec. 1938 |
MUD
1 - 1
MID
41%
23%
35%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1939 |
STO
6 - 3
BIR
57%
21%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1939 |
BOL
1 - 3
STO
60%
21%
20%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1938 |
MID
5 - 1
STO
68%
18%
15%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1938 |
LIV
1 - 0
STO
63%
19%
18%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1938 |
STO
3 - 1
LIV
52%
22%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |