Manchester United vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
12.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1907 |
NEW
5 - 0
MUD
75%
16%
10%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1907 |
BOL
0 - 1
MUD
67%
17%
15%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 1907 |
MUD
2 - 0
SHE
52%
22%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1907 |
NOT
3 - 0
MUD
42%
24%
34%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1907 |
MUD
1 - 0
ASV
43%
24%
33%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1907 |
SHE
2 - 0
STO
73%
16%
12%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1907 |
STO
1 - 1
NOT
69%
17%
14%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1907 |
BRI
4 - 0
STO
69%
17%
13%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1906 |
STO
1 - 2
NEW
37%
26%
37%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Dec. 1906 |
STO
3 - 0
BOL
45%
22%
33%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |