Cup Winners Cup Quarter-finals
Global 4-6
Manchester United vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
30.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1964 |
BBU
1 - 3
MUD
53%
21%
26%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1964 |
MUD
5 - 0
BOL
75%
15%
10%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1964 |
LEI
3 - 2
MUD
52%
21%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1964 |
MUD
3 - 1
ARS
55%
20%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 1964 |
WBA
1 - 4
MUD
54%
21%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1964 |
SCP
2 - 0
VAR
87%
8%
5%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1964 |
LEX
0 - 0
SCP
18%
23%
59%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1964 |
SCP
0 - 0
FAB
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1964 |
LGC
1 - 1
SCP
14%
22%
65%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1964 |
SEI
1 - 3
SCP
23%
22%
55%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |