Champions League Eliminatorias Semi-finals
Global 6-1
Manchester United vs Schalke 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
10.6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
ARS
1 - 0
MUD
33%
26%
41%
|
95 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2011 |
S04
0 - 2
MUD
23%
27%
50%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
MUD
1 - 0
EVE
74%
17%
9%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2011 |
NEW
0 - 0
MUD
17%
23%
61%
|
95 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
MAC
1 - 0
MUD
28%
26%
47%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
BYM
4 - 1
S04
65%
21%
15%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2011 |
S04
0 - 2
MUD
23%
27%
50%
|
89 | 95 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
S04
0 - 1
KAI
65%
21%
14%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
BRE
1 - 1
S04
46%
25%
29%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2011 |
S04
2 - 1
INT
36%
28%
36%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |