Champions League Last 16
Global 2-1
Manchester United vs Sarajevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1967 |
CHL
1 - 1
MUD
33%
26%
41%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1967 |
MUD
3 - 2
SOU
73%
16%
11%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 1967 |
SAR
0 - 0
MUD
29%
23%
48%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 1967 |
LIV
1 - 2
MUD
49%
25%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 1967 |
LEE
1 - 0
MUD
45%
25%
30%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1967 |
SAR
0 - 0
MUD
29%
23%
48%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1967 |
SAR
3 - 1
OLY
61%
19%
20%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1967 |
OLY
2 - 2
SAR
47%
21%
32%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |