Manchester United vs Reading analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.6%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.2%
+3
16.9%
2-0
18.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.2%
1-0
16.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.4%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
14.8%
4.6%
Win probability
0.36
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2019 |
NEW
0 - 2
MUD
21%
24%
55%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2018 |
MUD
4 - 1
BOU
61%
23%
16%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
MUD
3 - 1
HUR
75%
18%
7%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 5
MUD
16%
23%
61%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
LIV
3 - 1
MUD
56%
23%
21%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
REA
1 - 4
SWA
21%
27%
52%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
QPR
0 - 0
REA
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
MIL
1 - 0
REA
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
REA
0 - 1
MID
22%
26%
52%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
ROT
1 - 1
REA
52%
24%
24%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |