Manchester United vs Reading analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.9%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.4%
4-0
10.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.4%
3-0
14.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.6%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.5%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.8%
3.3%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
RMA
1 - 1
MUD
71%
16%
13%
|
94 | 97 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
MUD
2 - 0
EVE
75%
16%
9%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
FUL
0 - 1
MUD
16%
21%
63%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
MUD
2 - 1
SOU
85%
10%
4%
|
94 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
MUD
4 - 1
FUL
84%
12%
5%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
STO
2 - 1
REA
55%
24%
22%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
REA
2 - 1
SUN
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
REA
2 - 2
CHL
18%
22%
61%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
REA
4 - 0
SHE
70%
18%
12%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
NEW
1 - 2
REA
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |