Manchester United vs Preston North End analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
15.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1907 |
BBU
2 - 4
MUD
58%
21%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1907 |
MUD
4 - 1
STO
71%
17%
13%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1907 |
NEW
5 - 0
MUD
75%
16%
10%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1907 |
BOL
0 - 1
MUD
67%
17%
15%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1907 |
MUD
2 - 0
SHE
52%
22%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1907 |
MID
2 - 1
PNE
58%
22%
21%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1907 |
SUN
1 - 0
PNE
67%
18%
15%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1907 |
PNE
1 - 3
MAC
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1907 |
SHE
3 - 1
PNE
60%
23%
18%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1907 |
PNE
1 - 0
SHW
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |