Manchester United vs Portsmouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.7%
10%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1959 |
MUD
4 - 0
LEE
76%
14%
10%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1959 |
WBA
1 - 3
MUD
44%
22%
34%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1959 |
MUD
2 - 1
EVE
74%
15%
11%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1959 |
BBU
1 - 3
MUD
36%
22%
42%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1959 |
ARS
3 - 2
MUD
46%
21%
32%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1959 |
OPA
1 - 1
BIR
47%
23%
31%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1959 |
OPA
1 - 5
NEW
48%
22%
30%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1959 |
OPA
3 - 4
MAC
44%
21%
35%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1959 |
LEE
1 - 1
OPA
53%
22%
25%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1959 |
TOT
4 - 4
OPA
74%
14%
12%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |