Manchester United vs Portsmouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
13.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1956 |
MUD
3 - 2
PNE
71%
16%
13%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1956 |
WBA
2 - 3
MUD
35%
24%
42%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1956 |
PNE
1 - 3
MUD
40%
23%
37%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 1956 |
MUD
2 - 2
BIR
73%
16%
11%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1956 |
MUD
1 - 0
OPA
67%
17%
16%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1956 |
OPA
3 - 4
BIR
62%
19%
19%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1956 |
OPA
3 - 1
SHW
58%
19%
23%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1956 |
BIR
3 - 1
OPA
54%
21%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1956 |
NEW
2 - 1
OPA
58%
20%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1956 |
OPA
2 - 4
MAC
57%
20%
23%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |