Champions League Eliminatorias Last 16
Global 2-1
Manchester United vs Olympique Marseille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
13.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
MUD
2 - 0
ARS
54%
22%
24%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
LIV
3 - 1
MUD
26%
26%
48%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2011 |
CHL
2 - 1
MUD
45%
25%
30%
|
95 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
WIG
0 - 4
MUD
11%
22%
68%
|
95 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 0
MUD
30%
26%
44%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2011 |
REN
0 - 2
MAR
31%
26%
43%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 2
LIL
55%
24%
21%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
ASN
1 - 2
MAR
21%
25%
55%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 0
MUD
30%
26%
44%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 1
ASS
72%
18%
11%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |